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Sporting analogies are overdone in politics but this year's Democratic campaign -- with its clear demographic contours -- is a bit like a tennis match. Obama last night won a state he was predicted to win. Now, on to Pennsylvania, where it's up...
This week's column looks at the problems ahead for the Democrats and why Hillary Clinton could well be the stronger general election candidate.
As we anticipated in earlier posts and columns, the Democratic race is now headed to a train wreck, on the heels of Hillary Clinton's strong showings last night. The race now heads to Pennsylvania in late April but, as Fred Barnes noted jokingly last...
What's at stake in tonight's primaries? Actually, it's pretty straightforward. If Obama sweeps Ohio and Texas, it's over. If Clinton sweeps, she'll still trail in delegates but she still has a chance to win the nomination -- though...
The press has been approaching the
upcoming contests in Ohio and Texas (with two other states voting) as
the end of the line for the Clinton campaign. That could happen but
it's far less likely than the media has been assuming. Sure, if Obama
wins...
This is it, folks. After months of skirmishes across the country, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are in Texas for the next two weeks, waging what possibly is a fight to the death. Texas is the biggest state left on the Democrats' calendar, and both...
One of the Democrats' great senior
wise men, Ted Van Dyk, former aide to Hubert Humphrey, George McGovern,
and others, sent me this wrapup of the debate last night. As always, he
bears listening to: . . . Both Obama and Clinton have honed their performances...
There is another Democratic debate tonight and Clinton partisans are undoubtedly hoping it marks the beginning of her comeback. There's some anticipation that she will go super-negative on Obama but the feeling here is that would be a mistake. She's...
This week's Tote Board column, "Civil War," opines that if Hillary can come back in Ohio and Texas on March 4 --a better
possibility than it might seem today -- the Dems are headed for, well,
civil war.
Both Fox and CNN have called
Wisconsin for Obama. The exit
poll data showed, for example, that only 40% of the Wisconsin
Democratic electorate
had a college degree. That's a demographic mix tailor-made for Hillary
and her inability to prevail tonight...
Tonight's Wisconsin primary isn't
going to determine who wins the Democratic nomination, though in a race
this close everything counts. But it bears watching. So far, if you
accept the notion that Clinton and Obama represent roughly equal
constituencies...
This week's column shows how Clinton's ineptitude in running her own campaign may well show she is hardly prepared to be president.
The delegate race is still close.
And, yes, Clinton can come back. But she'll have to win Ohio and Texas
on March 4 or the pressure will be enormous on her to scale back her
campaign and her principal argument -- that Obama can't win the big
states...
If the present trends continue,
Barack Obama will pass HIllary Clinton in most unofficial delegate
counts on Tuesday night -- after the so-called Potomac primary of
Virginia, Maryland, and DC. This hardly guarantees him the nomination.
But it's hugely...
The Democrats and demography: The Tote Board on WBUR/NPR.
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